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arXiv Language Models

When AI shortcuts become invisible failures — the trap of "vibe econometrics"

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It's like using autocorrect on a critical email: the output looks clean and flows naturally, so you never notice the typo that reversed your whole argument. By the time someone fact-checks, the letter's already sent.

This means researchers and organizations using AI to speed up causal analysis (proving whether A caused B) may be confidently publishing wrong conclusions without realizing it — because the output doesn't *look* wrong.


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